
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Conor McGregor participates in an officially sanctioned UFC bout between April 5 and November 13, 2023 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An "officially sanctioned UFC bout" includes all official UFC events, such as pay-per-view, Fight Night, and any other event sanctioned by the UFC. Appearances by Conor McGregor on The Ultimate Fighter reality TV show will not count towards the resolution of this market. Any announcements made by Conor McGregor or the UFC regarding his return or retirement will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market may only resolve to "No" once its end date has passed and Conor McGregor has not participated in an officially sanctioned UFC fight in that time.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 6:31:10 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.