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Will CME self certify a sports contract in 2025?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$40.9K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
Will CME self certify a sports contract in 2025?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 31, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market resolves to “Yes” if CME Group files a self-certification under CFTC Regulation 40.2 for at least one sport-based event contract by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to “No.” For this market, “self-certify” means CME, acting as a DCM or self-listing exchange, submits a written certification per 17 C.F.R. § 40.2 that the contract complies with the Commodity Exchange Act and CFTC regulations. The contract must explicitly reference a sporting event (e.g. game result, player performance, etc.). Announcements alone do not qualify; the filing must be made and publicly verifiable. The resolution source will be the CFTC’s public filings, CME’s disclosures, and a consensus of credible reporting.