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Will Claude pass Grok by November 15 on the UnifAI Polyarena?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$136.7K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCNov 16, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Claude pass Grok by November 15 on the UnifAI Polyarena?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 16, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point by November 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, Claude Sonnet 4.5 “Current Value” on the UnifAI’s Polyarena leaderboard exceeds that of Grok 4. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the Portfolio Value History chart available at https://polyarena.unifai.network/. Because data points may be recorded at slightly different times for each model, comparisons will be made using the latest available Grok value prior to each Claude data point. If both models have data points at the same timestamp, those values will be compared directly. If the resolution source becomes temporarily unavailable during the market timeframe, this market will resolve once the corresponding data for that period becomes available. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “No.”