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Will Canada remove retaliatory tariffs on USA in March?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$83.3K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCMar 31, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Canada remove retaliatory tariffs on USA in March?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Mar 31, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
On March 4, Canada imposed 25% reciprocal tariffs on a variety of goods from the United States (see: https://www.canada.ca/en/department-finance/news/2025/03/list-of-products-from-the-united-states-subject-to-25-per-cent-tariffs-effective-march-4-2025.html) This market will resolve to “Yes” if Canada removes the retaliatory tariffs it placed on US goods by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Only actions which remove all retaliatory tariffs will qualify toward this market's resolution. Lowering the tariffs below 25% without removing them will not qualify. The application or removal of tariffs apart from the retaliatory tariffs placed on the US on March 4 will have no impact on this market's resolution. Any action which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the removal goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Canada, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.