
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve "Yes" if Caedrel reaches the Challenger rank in League of Legends solo/duo ranked queue on any server on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". "Reaching Challenger" means Caedrel's account attains the Challenger tier in the ranked solo/duo queue, as displayed in the official in-game ranked ladder or on his verified account, at any point during the market period. Reaching Challenger in flex queue does not count unless otherwise specified. The account must be one publicly identified as belonging to Caedrel and streamed or otherwise confirmed as his. Reaching Challenger on a smurf or alternate account still counts, provided it is verifiably his and he publicly demonstrates it (e.g., on stream). If Caedrel is confirmed to have reached Challenger at any point in the period — even briefly — this market resolves "Yes". The primary resolution source will be the official League of Legends ranked ladder (via the in-game client or op.gg / official Riot data for his verified account) and Caedrel's official streams or channels; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 7:52:41 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.