
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Boeing’s Starliner spacecraft successfully completes its return to Earth by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A successful return is defined as the spacecraft touching down on Earth while maintaining structural integrity during descent/reentry and landing, without any incidents resulting in significant damage. If the Boeing’s Starliner is destroyed before the resolution date this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 10:30:05 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.