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Will Bill Ackman announce NYC mayoral run before August?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
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24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$26.7K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCAug 1, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Bill Ackman announce NYC mayoral run before August?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Aug 1, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.5¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill Ackman announces that he is running for Mayor of New York City in the 2025 mayoral election, by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Bill Ackman will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually files a nomination to run, or whether he later files a nomination. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Bill Ackman (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.