Will Biden trip on a staircase again this week?

Foretrace AI research

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24h volume$0

Total volume$49K

Liquidity$0

Event end date · UTCFeb 25, 2024

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

Will Biden trip on a staircase again this week?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $0
Deadline · UTC: Feb 25, 2024
Yes bid / ask: 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

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This market is closed or awaiting resolution.

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Resolution rules

On February 20 new footage was released showing President Biden tripping on stairs leading up to Air Force One, causing another round of speculation on the 81 year old's vitality. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden is recorded tripping on a staircase again by 11:59 PM ET, Sunday, February 25, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such footage is released by the end date, this market will immediately resolve to "No." Photographs or announcements will not be considered toward this market's resolution. Only recorded video of Biden tripping on a staircase will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution. The video must be original and not manipulated or digitally altered to mislead the viewer. Edited videos, deepfakes, or any form of manipulated media will not be considered valid for the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be the video(s) in question, verified by a consensus of credible reporting and/or Biden and his representatives.