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Will Biden or Haley drop out first?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
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24h volume$0
Total volume$105.2K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCNov 5, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Biden or Haley drop out first?
Biden0%Polymarket estimate
Haley100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 5, 2024
- Biden bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Biden" if President Joseph Biden drops out of the 2024 US presidential race before Nikki Haley. This market will resolve to "Haley" if Nikki Haley drops out of the 2024 US presidential race before President Joseph Biden. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent either candidate from continuing the race, this market will consider the candidate that can no longer run to have dropped out. If neither candidate drops out at any point before the 2024 election day (November 5, 2024 ET), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from this candidate or their official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.