Will Biden let Ukraine strike Russia with US weapons?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$16.5K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCJun 30, 2024

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds100%

Will Biden let Ukraine strike Russia with US weapons?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Jun 30, 2024
Yes bid / ask: 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

On May 30 it was reported that the Biden administration is reconsidering a longstanding precautionary measure of prohibiting the use of American-supplied weapons for strikes inside Russian territory (see: https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/ukraine-strike-inside-russia-using-us-weapons-biden-debate-nato-macron-rcna154442). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. allows Ukraine to use American-supplied weapons for attacks inside Russian territory by June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming American weapons being used by Ukraine for attacks within Russia.