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Will Biden declassify Russia security threat by Friday?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
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24h volume$0
Total volume$16.7K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCFeb 16, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
Will Biden declassify Russia security threat by Friday?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Feb 16, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
On Wednesday, February 14, 2024, House Intelligence Committee Chair Mike Turner released intelligence around a “serious national security threat” to all members of the US Congress. As of the writing of this market, this information remains classified, though Turner is calling for its declassification. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any part of the intelligence around the "serious national security threat" is declassified by Biden, his cabinet, or the White House in general, and made publicly available by Friday, February 16, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.