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Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Choose a market to analyze 3 open questions · Evidence required
24h volume$484.3
Total volume$8M
Liquidity$30.3K
Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2028
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
6 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
June 30, 2027Accepting ordersMarket odds35.5%
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Yes35.5%Polymarket estimate
No64.5%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $4.2K
- Deadline · UTC
- Jul 1, 2027
- Yes bid / ask
- 35.0¢ / 36.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Base will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base (https://x.com/base), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.