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Will Ayatollah Khamenei still be in power in Iran by the end of 2023?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volume$0
Total volume$1.2K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2023
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
Will Ayatollah Khamenei still be in power in Iran by the end of 2023?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $71.3
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 31, 2023
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the Supreme Leader of Iran, maintains his position as the Supreme Leader from the time of this market's creation until 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2023. The market will resolve to "No" if, for any reason, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is no longer in his position as the Supreme Leader of Iran at any point during this same time period. The resolution will be based on reputable global news sources. In the event of a dispute, the final decision will be made by referencing the official statements from the government of Iran. If the event of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei no longer serving as Supreme Leader occurs before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.