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Will any Republican congressman come out as gay before March?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volume$0
Total volume$38.7K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCMar 1, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will any Republican congressman come out as gay before March?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $96.1
- Deadline · UTC
- Mar 1, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Republican congressman who has not previously made it public that he is gay comes out as gay between December 4, 2023 ET and February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, coming out as bisexual, lesbian, or queer in any variety will not count toward a positive resolution for this market. Only a Republican man coming out as homosexual will trigger a "Yes" resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be announcements made by the Republican congressman in question, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.