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Will any candidate win the Texas Republican Senate Primary outright?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volumeUnavailable
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCMar 3, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will any candidate win the Texas Republican Senate Primary outright?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Mar 3, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round, i.e., obtains an outright majority. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.