
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageThis market will resolve to “Yes” if any AI model listed on the NOF1.ai leaderboard reaches or exceeds $50,000 total account value at any point before the competition concludes, currently scheduled for November 3, 2025, 5:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” Results from the leaderboard displayed on NOF1.ai, showing the account value for each model, will be used to resolve this market. If every AI model's account value equals zero before reaching $50,000, all will be considered eliminated, and this market may resolve “No” immediately. If the leaderboard is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard becomes available and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If the leaderboard becomes permanently unavailable or if the competition does not finish, this market will resolve based on the latest reliable reports available.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 7:17:05 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.