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Will any AI reach $50k in Alpha Arena Season 1.5 AI trading competition?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$36K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCNot specified
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will any AI reach $50k in Alpha Arena Season 1.5 AI trading competition?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Not specified
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
The second iteration of Nof1's Alpha Arena AI trading competition, Alpha Arena Season 1.5, launched on November 19, 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any AI model listed on the NOF1.ai leaderboard reaches or exceeds $50,000 total account value at any point before the Alpha Arena Season 1.5 competition concludes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” Results from the leaderboard displayed on https://nof1.ai/leaderboard, showing the account value for each model, will be used to resolve this market. If every AI model's account value equals zero before reaching $50,000, all will be considered eliminated, and this market may resolve “No” immediately. If the leaderboard is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard becomes available and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If the leaderboard becomes permanently unavailable or if the competition does not finish, this market will resolve based on the latest reliable reports available.