
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of The Black Bull (ANSEM) surpasses that of Pump.fun (PUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, timezone ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun, respectively. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of The Black Bull (ANSEM) surpasses that of Pump.fun (PUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, timezone ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun, respectively. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of The Black Bull (ANSEM) surpasses that of Pump.fun (PUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, timezone ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun, respectively. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 7:00:24 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.