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Will another plane's cabin door blow off in January?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volume$0
Total volume$3.4K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCJan 31, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will another plane's cabin door blow off in January?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $70.8
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 31, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
On January 8, the door plug tore off the left side of a Boeing 737 jet, resulting in the cabin depressurizing. This market will resolve to "Yes" if another commercial aircraft's side panel falls off during flight in January 2024 (ET), and "No" otherwise. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 4:35:57 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.