Loading your workspace…
All markets
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$275.8K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCAug 1, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Aug 1, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.9¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
XTX Markets has announced a $5,000,000.00 main prize for the first publicly shared AI to perform at a International Math Olympiad (IMO) Gold standard (https://aimoprize.com/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if this prize is awarded by 2024 July 31st 23:59 UTC, according to an announcement by the AI-MO Prize, XTX Markets or the IMO. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 1:12:48 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.