Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

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24h volume$746.4

Total volume$320.6K

Liquidity$26.4K

Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Accepting ordersMarket odds12.7%

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Yes12.7%Polymarket estimate

No87.3%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $26.4K
Deadline · UTC: Jan 1, 2027
Yes bid / ask: 12.6¢ / 12.8¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.