Loading your workspace…
All markets
Will a balloon deflate during the 2024 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$171.8K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCNov 28, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will a balloon deflate during the 2024 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 28, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.4¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any balloon featured in the 2024 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade (https://www.macys.com/s/parade/lineup/) visibly deflates during the parade broadcast on November 28, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A balloon will be considered "deflated" if it significantly loses air, resulting in a notable change in its shape, size, or ability to float as intended. Minor leaks or damage that do not visibly alter the balloon's appearance or functionality will not count. The resolution source will be the official NBC broadcast of the parade.