Will 2024 have the hottest February on record?

Foretrace AI research

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$172K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCMar 1, 2024

Price history

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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ClosedMarket odds100%

Will 2024 have the hottest February on record?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Mar 1, 2024
Yes bid / ask: 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2024 shows an increase of 1.38°C or greater when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of 1.38°C or greater for February 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for February 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for February 2024 is provided by NASA by April 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No."