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Will 10% or more CIA personnel accept buyout offer before March?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
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24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$215.8K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCFeb 28, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will 10% or more CIA personnel accept buyout offer before March?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Feb 28, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
On February 4, The Central Intelligence Agency offered buyouts to its entire workforce (see: https://www.wsj.com/politics/national-security/the-cia-is-about-to-get-a-trump-makeover-16fc0cbf) This market will resolve to “Yes” if 10% or more of CIA employees accept the buyout resignation offer. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump Administration and the CIA. If the number is only reported as an absolute number by February 28, 11:59 PM ET, this market will use the most exact unrounded percentage using the reported number out of 23,000 to calculate the percentage of employees that accepted the buyout. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number or percentage of CIA employees that accept the buyout offer by February 28, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.