Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$2.1M

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCOct 1, 2024

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Walz0%Polymarket estimate

Vance100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Oct 1, 2024
Walz bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

Tim Walz and JD Vance are scheduled to participate in a debate hosted by CBS on October 1, 2024. This market will resolve to "Walz" if the first relevant opinion poll released by Ipsos after the debate indicates Tim Walz won this debate against JD Vance. This market will resolve to "Vance" if the first relevant opinion poll released by Ipsos after the debate indicates JD Vance won. If the results are tied, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve to whichever candidate has a higher percentage than the other for the question regarding who performed better in the debate, or who won the debate. Other portions of the poll will not be considered for this market. If this debate is cancelled, otherwise rescheduled, or does not take place by October 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the results of Ipsos first opinion poll over who won or performed better in the debate released after its conclusion. If Ipsos does not release a poll within a week of the debate (currently October 8, 11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve based on polling on the debate from Yougov. If Yougov also hasn't released a relevant poll within a week of the debate this market will resolve to "50-50".