
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Vivek Ramaswamy wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Chris Christie wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Ronald Dion de Santis wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Nimrata Nikki Haley wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Tucker Carlson wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Ben Shapiro wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Rogan wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Peter Thiel wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump Jr. wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if former US vice president Michael Richard Pence wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Glenn Youngkin wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Tim Scott wins the 2024 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 9:42:44 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.