
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Dean Phillips wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Buttigieg wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Hillary Clinton wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Gavin Newsom wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution sourceRetrieved 10/3/2026, 10:12:05 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.