
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 San Francisco Mayoral election is London Breed. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this candidate drops out of the race, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 San Francisco Mayoral election is Mark Farrell. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this candidate drops out of the race, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 San Francisco Mayoral election is Daniel Lurie. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this candidate drops out of the race, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 San Francisco Mayoral election is Aaron Peskin. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this candidate drops out of the race, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who wins the 2024 San Francisco Mayoral election is Ahsha Safai. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this candidate drops out of the race, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate aside from London Breed, Mark Farrell, Daniel Lurie, Aaron Peskin, or Ahsha Safai wins the 2024 San Francisco Mayoral election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 2:05:39 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.