
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Republican National Convention is scheduled for July 15-18, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barron Trump is a speaker at the Republican National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Barron will be considered a "speaker" if he publicly gives a speech from the main stage of the convention. A speech given virtually but displayed from the main stage, or displayed throughout the convention space will count toward a "Yes" resolution. Simply appearing on the main stage of the convention floor will not count for a "Yes" resolution, he must actually give a speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Republican National Convention is scheduled for July 15-18, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ron DeSantis is a speaker at the Republican National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ron DeSantis will be considered a "speaker" if he publicly gives a speech from the main stage of the convention. A speech given virtually but displayed from the main stage, or displayed throughout the convention space will count toward a "Yes" resolution. Simply appearing on the main stage of the convention floor will not count for a "Yes" resolution, he must actually give a speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Republican National Convention is scheduled for July 15-18, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kanye West is a speaker at the Republican National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Kanye will be considered a "speaker" if he publicly gives a speech from the main stage of the convention. A speech given virtually but displayed from the main stage, or displayed throughout the convention space will count toward a "Yes" resolution. Simply appearing on the main stage of the convention floor will not count for a "Yes" resolution, he must actually give a speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Republican National Convention is scheduled for July 15-18, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jake Paul is a speaker at the Republican National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Jake Paul will be considered a "speaker" if he publicly gives a speech from the main stage of the convention. A speech given virtually but displayed from the main stage, or displayed throughout the convention space will count toward a "Yes" resolution. Simply appearing on the main stage of the convention floor will not count for a "Yes" resolution, he must actually give a speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Republican National Convention is scheduled for July 15-18, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ivanka Trump is a speaker at the Republican National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Ivanka Trump will be considered a "speaker" if he publicly gives a speech from the main stage of the convention. A speech given virtually but displayed from the main stage, or displayed throughout the convention space will count toward a "Yes" resolution. Simply appearing on the main stage of the convention floor will not count for a "Yes" resolution, he must actually give a speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Republican National Convention is scheduled for July 15-18, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Melania Trump is a speaker at the Republican National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Melania Trump will be considered a "speaker" if he publicly gives a speech from the main stage of the convention. A speech given virtually but displayed from the main stage, or displayed throughout the convention space will count toward a "Yes" resolution. Simply appearing on the main stage of the convention floor will not count for a "Yes" resolution, he must actually give a speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThe 2024 Republican National Convention is scheduled for July 15-18, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson is a speaker at the Republican National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Tucker Carlson will be considered a "speaker" if he publicly gives a speech from the main stage of the convention. A speech given virtually but displayed from the main stage, or displayed throughout the convention space will count toward a "Yes" resolution. Simply appearing on the main stage of the convention floor will not count for a "Yes" resolution, he must actually give a speech.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 9:40:24 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.