
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes any new government as the legitimate governing authority of the majority of the territory known as Syria, by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of a government as the country's legitimate authority/government will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge a new Syrian government, but do not formally recognize the authority of the government will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the recognizing government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Russian Federation formally recognizes any new government as the legitimate governing authority of the majority of the territory known as Syria, by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of a government as the country's legitimate authority/government will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge a new Syrian government, but do not formally recognize the authority of the government will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the recognizing government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state of the European Union formally recognizes any new government as the legitimate governing authority of the majority of the territory known as Syria, by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of a government as the country's legitimate authority/government will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge a new Syrian government, but do not formally recognize the authority of the government will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the recognizing government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Türkiye formally recognizes any new government as the legitimate governing authority of the majority of the territory known as Syria, by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of a government as the country's legitimate authority/government will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge a new Syrian government, but do not formally recognize the authority of the government will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the recognizing government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia formally recognizes any new government as the legitimate governing authority of the majority of the territory known as Syria, by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of a government as the country's legitimate authority/government will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge a new Syrian government, but do not formally recognize the authority of the government will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the recognizing government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 5:48:43 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.