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arch Who will place first in the CA-12 primary?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
View a sample AI report This event is outside current AI coverage.
24h volume$70.3
Total volume$70.3
Liquidity$1.5K
Event end date · UTCJun 2, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
17 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Cole BettlesDeadline passedMarket odds11%
Will Jamie Joyce receive the most votes in the CA-12 primary?
Yes11%Polymarket estimate
No89%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $850.5
- Deadline · UTC
- Jun 2, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 3.0¢ / 19.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
AI research not covered
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageResolution rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 12th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.