
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individuals publicly announces they have joined or switched their party affiliation to the "America Party," by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Expressions of interest, financial donations, or statements of ideological sympathy will not alone qualify unless accompanied by a clear claim of party affiliation. If the entity is referred to as the “America Party” or a name deemed by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same organization launched by Elon Musk it will qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individuals publicly announces they have joined or switched their party affiliation to the "America Party," by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Expressions of interest, financial donations, or statements of ideological sympathy will not alone qualify unless accompanied by a clear claim of party affiliation. If the entity is referred to as the “America Party” or a name deemed by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same organization launched by Elon Musk it will qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individuals publicly announces they have joined or switched their party affiliation to the "America Party," by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Expressions of interest, financial donations, or statements of ideological sympathy will not alone qualify unless accompanied by a clear claim of party affiliation. If the entity is referred to as the “America Party” or a name deemed by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same organization launched by Elon Musk it will qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individuals publicly announces they have joined or switched their party affiliation to the "America Party," by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Expressions of interest, financial donations, or statements of ideological sympathy will not alone qualify unless accompanied by a clear claim of party affiliation. If the entity is referred to as the “America Party” or a name deemed by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same organization launched by Elon Musk it will qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individuals publicly announces they have joined or switched their party affiliation to the "America Party," by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Expressions of interest, financial donations, or statements of ideological sympathy will not alone qualify unless accompanied by a clear claim of party affiliation. If the entity is referred to as the “America Party” or a name deemed by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same organization launched by Elon Musk it will qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 1:49:29 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.