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Who will be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volume$0
Total volume$8.5K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2023
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
4 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Tim RyanClosedMarket odds0%
Will Tim Ryan be the next Secretary of Labor?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $25
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 30, 2023
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
The incumbent US Secretary of Labor is leaving his role, making him the first cabinet member from the Biden Administration to step down. This market will resolve to "Yes" if former representative Timothy Ryan is the next US Secretary of Labor confirmed by the Senate. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may only resolve once the next U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the U.S. Senate. If no U.S. Secretary of Labor is confirmed by the Senate by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the federal government of the United States of America (e.g. https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.