Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
122 markets
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
None by June 30ClosedMarket odds0%
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Position abolishedClosedMarket odds0%
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Muhammad MirbaqiriClosedMarket odds0%
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sadegh LarijaniClosedMarket odds0%
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mojtaba KhameneiClosedMarket odds100%
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
99.9¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hassan KhomeiniClosedMarket odds0%
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Reza PahlaviClosedMarket odds0%
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hassan ShariatmadariClosedMarket odds0%
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Maryam RajaviClosedMarket odds0%
Will Maryam Rajavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Massoud RajaviClosedMarket odds0%
Will Massoud Rajavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Seyed Hossein MousavianClosedMarket odds0%
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Reza PirzadehClosedMarket odds0%
Will Reza Pirzadeh be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Navid ShomaliClosedMarket odds0%
Will Navid Shomali be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mustafa HijriClosedMarket odds0%
Will Mustafa Hijri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ali MotahariClosedMarket odds0%
Will Ali Motahari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Gholam-Ali Haddad-AdelClosedMarket odds0%
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mostafa PourmohammadiClosedMarket odds0%
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sadegh MahsouliClosedMarket odds0%
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Masoud PezeshkianClosedMarket odds0%
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Saeed JaliliClosedMarket odds0%
Will Saeed Jalili be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hassan RouhaniClosedMarket odds0%
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mahmoud AhmadinejadClosedMarket odds0%
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mohammad KhatamiClosedMarket odds0%
Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OtherClosedMarket odds0%
Will Other be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ali LarijaniClosedMarket odds0%
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mohammad-Bagher GhalibafClosedMarket odds0%
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alireza ArafiClosedMarket odds0%
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hashem Hosseini BushehriClosedMarket odds0%
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mohammad-Reza Modarresi YazdiClosedMarket odds0%
Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'iClosedMarket odds0%
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mohsen ArakiClosedMarket odds0%
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mohsen QomiClosedMarket odds0%
Will Mohsen Qomi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ali Asghar HejaziClosedMarket odds0%
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mohammad YasrebiClosedMarket odds0%
Will Mohammad Yasrebi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mohammad Hadi Ghazanfari KhansariClosedMarket odds0%
Will Mohammad Hadi Ghazanfari Khansari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khalil Mobasher KashaniClosedMarket odds0%
Will Khalil Mobasher Kashani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ahmad KhatamiClosedMarket odds0%
Will Ahmad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ahmad Hosseini KhorasaniClosedMarket odds0%
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Nasir HosseiniClosedMarket odds0%
Will Nasir Hosseini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ahmad VahidiClosedMarket odds0%
Will Ahmad Vahidi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Abbas AraghchiClosedMarket odds0%
Will Abbas Araghchi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
Unavailable
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
— / 0.1¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
vClosedMarket odds0%
Will v be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
wClosedMarket odds0%
Will w be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
xClosedMarket odds0%
Will x be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
yClosedMarket odds0%
Will y be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
zClosedMarket odds0%
Will z be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
aaClosedMarket odds0%
Will aa be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
abClosedMarket odds0%
Will ab be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
acClosedMarket odds0%
Will ac be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
adClosedMarket odds0%
Will ad be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
aeClosedMarket odds0%
Will ae be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
afClosedMarket odds0%
Will af be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
agClosedMarket odds0%
Will ag be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ahClosedMarket odds0%
Will ah be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
aiClosedMarket odds0%
Will ai be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ajClosedMarket odds0%
Will aj be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
akClosedMarket odds0%
Will ak be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
alClosedMarket odds0%
Will al be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
amClosedMarket odds0%
Will am be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
anClosedMarket odds0%
Will an be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
aoClosedMarket odds0%
Will ao be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
apClosedMarket odds0%
Will ap be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
aqClosedMarket odds0%
Will aq be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
arClosedMarket odds0%
Will ar be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
asClosedMarket odds0%
Will as be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
atClosedMarket odds0%
Will at be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
auClosedMarket odds0%
Will au be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
avClosedMarket odds0%
Will av be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
awClosedMarket odds0%
Will aw be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
axClosedMarket odds0%
Will ax be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ayClosedMarket odds0%
Will ay be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
azClosedMarket odds0%
Will az be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
baClosedMarket odds0%
Will ba be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
bbClosedMarket odds0%
Will bb be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
bcClosedMarket odds0%
Will bc be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
bdClosedMarket odds0%
Will bd be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
beClosedMarket odds0%
Will be be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
bfClosedMarket odds0%
Will bf be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
bgClosedMarket odds0%
Will bg be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
bhClosedMarket odds0%
Will bh be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
biClosedMarket odds0%
Will bi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
bjClosedMarket odds0%
Will bj be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
bkClosedMarket odds0%
Will bk be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
blClosedMarket odds0%
Will bl be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
bmClosedMarket odds0%
Will bm be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
bnClosedMarket odds0%
Will bn be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
boClosedMarket odds0%
Will bo be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
bpClosedMarket odds0%
Will bp be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
bqClosedMarket odds0%
Will bq be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
brClosedMarket odds0%
Will br be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
bsClosedMarket odds0%
Will bs be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
btClosedMarket odds0%
Will bt be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
buClosedMarket odds0%
Will bu be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
bvClosedMarket odds0%
Will bv be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
bwClosedMarket odds0%
Will bw be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
bxClosedMarket odds0%
Will bx be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
byClosedMarket odds0%
Will by be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
bzClosedMarket odds0%
Will bz be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
caClosedMarket odds0%
Will ca be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
cbClosedMarket odds0%
Will cb be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ccClosedMarket odds0%
Will cc be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
cdClosedMarket odds0%
Will cd be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ceClosedMarket odds0%
Will ce be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
cfClosedMarket odds0%
Will cf be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
cgClosedMarket odds0%
Will cg be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
chClosedMarket odds0%
Will ch be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ciClosedMarket odds0%
Will ci be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
cjClosedMarket odds0%
Will cj be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ckClosedMarket odds0%
Will ck be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
clClosedMarket odds0%
Will cl be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
cmClosedMarket odds0%
Will cm be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
cnClosedMarket odds0%
Will cn be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
coClosedMarket odds0%
Will co be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
cpClosedMarket odds0%
Will cp be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
cqClosedMarket odds0%
Will cq be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
crClosedMarket odds0%
Will cr be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
csClosedMarket odds0%
Will cs be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ctClosedMarket odds0%
Will ct be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
cuClosedMarket odds0%
Will cu be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
cvClosedMarket odds0%
Will cv be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
cwClosedMarket odds0%
Will cw be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
cxClosedMarket odds0%
Will cx be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
Liquidity
$0
Deadline · UTC
Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask
0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees
Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
The Supreme Leader of Iran is chosen by the Assembly of Experts.
This market will resolve according to the person who is named as the next Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next Supreme Leader of Iran after Ali Khamenei.
Any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If Ali Khamenei remains the Supreme Leader of Iran or the next Supreme Leader of Iran is not officially announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.
If the position of Supreme Leader is formally abolished — including instances in which the Islamic Republic of Iran ceases to exist, is replaced, or no longer maintains the office of Supreme Leader — this market will resolve to “Position abolished”.
Only individuals formally appointed to the office titled “Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic of Iran” (or a clearly direct constitutional equivalent replacing that title) will qualify. Individuals serving solely as President, head of state, head of government, or in any other role that is not explicitly the Supreme Leader or a direct constitutional equivalent will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Iran. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 11:59:12 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.
