Who is asked the first debate question?

Foretrace AI research

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$87.6K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCSep 10, 2024

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds100%

Who is asked the first debate question?

Kamala100%Polymarket estimate

Trump0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Sep 10, 2024
Kamala bid / ask: 99.0¢ / 99.9¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market refers to the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump during the 2024 election cycle. This market will resolve to "Kamala" if Kamala Harris is asked the first debate question. This market will resolve to "Trump" if Donald Trump is asked the first debate question. If no debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump takes before election day, this market will resolve to "50-50". The first debate question refers to the first question the moderators ask that is part of the actual debate (i.e. if the moderator just asks "Are you ready?" it won't count - this market is about the first question relevant to a debate topic.) The primary resolution source for this market will be official footage of the debate, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.