
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill Clinton attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Hillary Clinton attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if George W. Bush attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Nancy Pelosi attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Carter attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Michelle Obama attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Rudy Giuliani attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Mark Zuckerberg attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Volodymyr Zelensky attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and phot evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Rogan attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Javier Milei attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Caitlyn Jenner attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Stephen Baldwin attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Chris Christie attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the former president of Brazil Jair Bolsonaro attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Adams attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Tom Brady attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Brad Garlinghouse attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Giorgia Meloni attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Nayib Bukele attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Viktor Orban attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if CEO of TikTok Shou Chew attends the presidential inauguration currently scheduled for January 20, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the inauguration is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the ceremony. The primary resolution source for this market will be video and photographic evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 1:45:53 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.