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Who will applaud during the State of the Union
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
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24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$187.6K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCFeb 24, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
9 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Nancy PelosiClosedMarket odds100%
Will Nancy Pelosi applaud during Trump's State of the Union?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Not specified
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is seen applauding at any point during during Donald Trump’s 2026 State of the Union address, scheduled for February 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The listed individual must be visibly clapping their hands together on the C-SPAN video feed to qualify. Other gestures, such as nodding, standing without clapping, or tapping hands on a surface, will not count towards the resolution of this market. Only applause from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during his speech until the moment he finishes will qualify. Applause directly before or after will NOT qualify. If the 2026 address to Congress does not occur by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the C-SPAN video feed.