Loading your workspace…
All markets
Which party wins the most primary votes in Australian election?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$1.2M
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJun 30, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
Which party wins the most primary votes in Australian election?
Labor Party100%Polymarket estimate
Coalition0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jun 30, 2025
- Labor Party bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Labor Party" if the Australian Labor Party receives more total first-preference (primary) votes than the Liberal–National Coalition in the 2025 federal election, as reported by the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC). This market will resolve to "Coalition" if the combined total of first-preference (primary) votes received by the Liberal Party and the National Party (counted together as a single group, regardless of whether they run joint or separate candidates in individual electorates) exceeds that of the Labor Party. If any other political party or alliance receives more first-preference (primary) votes than either the Labor Party or the combined Liberal–National Coalition or if the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "50-50". This market will resolve based on official first-preference national vote totals as reported by the Australian Electoral Commission (https://www.aec.gov.au/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Note: The Liberal and the National Parties of Australia (Liberal–National Coalition) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Liberal–National Coalition will be assigned to the Liberal Party.