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Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
Choose a market to analyze 2 eligible questions · Evidence required
24h volume$206.2
Total volume$2.5M
Liquidity$536.9K
Event end date · UTCNov 8, 2028
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
15 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
RepublicanAccepting ordersMarket odds34.5%
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes34.5%Polymarket estimate
No65.5%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $298.1K
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 8, 2028
- Yes bid / ask
- 34.0¢ / 35.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.