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Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$8.8M
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCNov 8, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?ClosedMarket odds0%
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
Democratic0%Polymarket estimate
Republican100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 8, 2024
- Democratic bid / ask
- 0.1¢ / 0.2¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
The 2024 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2024 election. The main resolution sources for this market will be (https://www.archives.gov/electoral-college/results), (http://whitehouse.gov/) and (https://www.fec.gov/). Further official, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions may also be considered to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. If another party wins other than Democratic or Republican, the market will resolve 50/50.