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Which major outlets will lose Pentagon press pass by Dec 31?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
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24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$82.5K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
5 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
The New York TimesClosedMarket odds100%
Will The New York Times have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 31, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.8¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
AI research not covered
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that the listed media outlet’s Pentagon press pass is revoked by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "Pentagon press pass" means the OSD Public Affairs–issued Pentagon building access credential (press accreditation) required for routine entry to Pentagon facilities and press workspaces; briefing invites or remote/pool access do not qualify. A qualifying revocation includes any circumstances under which an outlet is no longer permitted to hold any active Pentagon press badges, whether through rescinding, deactivation, collection, or non-renewal, etc. This includes time-boxed or indefinite suspensions affecting the entire outlet. If a qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" even if the effective date is later; any later reinstatement will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from the Department of Defense (Pentagon), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.