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Which day will Farcaster's daily user growth stop?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volume$0
Total volume$9.4K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCFeb 9, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
8 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
FridayClosedMarket odds0%
Will Farcaster's growth peak on Friday?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $2.7K
- Deadline · UTC
- Feb 7, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of Farcaster users (by # unique casters) is fewer on February 3, 2024 than on February 2, 2024 after numbers for those days are finalized AND none of the prior days starting from Feb 1 peaked. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may resolve immediately once numbers for both dates are finalized. The primary resolution source for this market is https://dune.com/pixelhack/farcaster, specifically the DAU graph by unique cast fid. If this source is down at the resolution time, another reliable source will be used.