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Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Choose a market to analyze 17 open questions · Evidence required
24h volume$768
Total volume$400K
Liquidity$118.1K
Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
17 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
European UnionAccepting ordersMarket odds5.6%
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?
Yes5.6%Polymarket estimate
No94.5%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $12.1K
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 1, 2027
- Yes bid / ask
- 3.6¢ / 7.5¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.