
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state between August 4 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state between August 4 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state between August 4 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state between August 4 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state between August 4 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state between August 4 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the French government formally recognizes the State of Palestine by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only the French government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the French government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom's government formally recognizes the State of Palestine by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only the British government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes the State of Palestine by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only the U.S. government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state between August 4 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state between August 4 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state between August 4 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state between August 4 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 6:20:20 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.