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Which companies will the US take a stake in?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
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Choose a market to analyze 17 open questions · Evidence required
24h volume$813.6
Total volume$194.9K
Liquidity$6.7K
Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
20 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
SpaceXAccepting ordersMarket odds9.5%
Will the US federal government take a stake in SpaceX?
Yes9.5%Polymarket estimate
No90.5%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $108.5
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 1, 2027
- Yes bid / ask
- 9.0¢ / 10.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g., a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements that do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.