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Which characters will die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
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24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$15K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCAug 9, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
10 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Rhaenyra TargaryenClosedMarket odds0%
Will Rhaenyra Targaryen die in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Aug 9, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 1.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
The House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is scheduled to air on HBO and HBO Max on August 9, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified character is depicted as having died during the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying death depiction must show the specified character depicted as dead on screen, or otherwise that character's death must clearly be stated to have occurred in the plot, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their in-plot death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.). If a death depiction is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death depiction will still qualify. Death depictions occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will count toward resolution. Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death depiction, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, prophecies, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who were already confirmed dead in-plot before the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale begins will not count toward this market's resolution. If a character's fate in-plot is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only death depictions confirmed by the end of the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale will qualify. Only events depicted in the official House of the Dragon Season 3 finale episode will count toward resolution. If the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale does not air by August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official episode, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the show itself. The market will resolve after the House of the Dragon Season 3 finale is released.