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Which cartels will Trump list as terrorists?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$98.5K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCMar 31, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
6 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Sinaloa CartelClosedMarket odds100%
Will Trump list the Sinaloa Cartel as a terrorist organization before April?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Mar 31, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
On January 20, 2025, President Donald Trump signed the executive order "Designating Cartels and Other Organizations as Foreign Terrorist Organizations and Specially Designated Global Terrorists," directing the U.S. government to assess and potentially designate certain cartels under these classifications. (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/01/designating-cartels-and-other-organizations-as-foreign-terrorist-organizations-and-specially-designated-global-terrorists/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates the listed cartel as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT) by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be an official announcement from the U.S. State Department, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.