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When will Wormhole airdrop?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$44.8K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJul 31, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
6 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
FebruaryClosedMarket odds0%
Wormhole airdrop in February?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $5.3K
- Deadline · UTC
- Feb 28, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
On Feb 7 Wormhole announced an upcoming token, and distribution/airdrop plan for it (see https://wormhole.com/wormhole-w-tokenomics/): "The Community has been allocated 17% of the token supply... 11% of this allocation will be unlocked at TGE and will be distributed during the initial phases of the TGE, including the TGE-related airdrop (and related activities)." This market will resolve to "Yes" if Wormhole performs the first community airdrop between February 6 and February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from the Wormhole team, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.