
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California is 100% contained by January 12, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California is 100% contained by January 19, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California is 100% contained by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California is 100% contained by January 26, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 2:42:23 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.