
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikki Haley drops out/suspends her presidential campaign between February 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET and February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Nikki Haley drops out/suspends her presidential campaign prior to February 1, 2024, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Nikki Haley or her official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikki Haley drops out/suspends her presidential campaign between March 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Nikki Haley drops out/suspends her presidential campaign prior to March 1, 2024, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Nikki Haley or her official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikki Haley drops out/suspends her presidential campaign between April 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Nikki Haley drops out/suspends her presidential campaign prior to April 1, 2024, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Nikki Haley or her official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikki Haley drops out/suspends her presidential campaign between June 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET and June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Nikki Haley drops out/suspends her presidential campaign prior to June 1, 2024, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Nikki Haley or her official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikki Haley drops out/suspends her presidential campaign between May 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET and May 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Nikki Haley drops out/suspends her presidential campaign prior to May 1, 2024, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Nikki Haley or her official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikki Haley drops out/suspends her presidential campaign between July 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET and the start of the Republican National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Nikki Haley drops out/suspends her presidential campaign prior to July 1, 2024, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Nikki Haley or her official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikki Haley has not dropped out/suspended her presidential campaign by the start of the Republican National Convention in July 2024. If Nikki Haley drops out or suspends her campaign before the Republican National Convention, this market will resolve to "No" The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Nikki Haley or her official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 11:04:13 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.